Barring a massive surprise, the upcoming United States presidential election will be a rematch of sorts: eighty-one-year-old Joe Biden, this time as the Democratic incumbent, versus seventy-eight-year-old Donald Trump, the former incumbent and now the leading candidate for the Republican nomination. If polling is correct, a plurality of voters in most key states prefer the latter. The betting markets point to a coin toss: Trump’s chance of re-election is slightly ahead of Biden’s, with variations depending on any third-party candidates.
Most Canadians are stunned by Trump’s continuing allure. The Biden administration has made historic legislative breakthroughs, while keeping the U.S. economy as steady as possible under the circumstances. Meanwhile, Trump has been hit with ninety-one criminal counts in four separate indictments, with the charges ranging from bookkeeping fraud to...
Srdjan Vucetic is an associate professor at the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Ottawa.
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